Unit: Advanced Financial Management
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Login to Access| Asset | Weightings (%) | Current return (%) | Beta |
| A | 30 | 18 | 1.8 |
| B | 15 | 20 | 2.2 |
| C | 20 | 16 | 1.5 |
| D | 35 | 10 | 1.2 |
| Risk free asset | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| Year | Tausi Ltd. share price (Sh.) | Stock Exchange Index |
| 2019 | 75 | 752 |
| 2020 | 78 | 815.5 |
| 2021 | 81 | 875 |
| 2022 | 79 | 840 |
| 2023 | 85 | 900 |
| 2024 | 76.5 | 795 |
| Bond | Price (Sh.) | Yield (%) | Par amount owed (Sh.“million”) | Duration |
| A | 120 | 10 | 4 | 3.86 |
| B | 85.50 | 10 | 5 | 8.05 |
| C | 130.50 | 10 | 3 | 9.17 |
| State of economy | Probability | Simba Ltd. (%) | Nyati Ltd. (%) |
| Boom | 0.30 | 18 | 10 |
| Normal | 0.45 | 16 | 14 |
| Recession | 0.25 | 9 | 16 |
| State of economy | Probability | Forecasted rate of return (%) |
| A | 0.20 | 10 |
| B | 0.30 | 15 |
| C | 0.40 | 7 |
| D | 0.10 | 12 |
| 1. | The company’s portfolio of existing activities are expected to generate an overall return of 18% with a standard deviation of 5%. |
| 2. | The correlation coefficient of returns of the new project and existing portfolio of activities is 0.60 while its correlation with the market portfolio is 0.24. |
| 3. | The forecasted rate of return of the market portfolio and their probability of occurrence in different states of nature are given as follows: |
| State of economy | Probability | Forecasted rate of return (%) | |
| 1 | 0.20 | 20 | |
| 2 | 0.30 | 15 | |
| 3 | 0.40 | 10 | |
| 4 | 0.10 | 5 | |
| 4. | The risk free rate of return is 8%. | ||
| Security | Expected return (%) | Beta |
| A | 20 | 2.00 |
| B | 14 | 0.75 |
| C | 15 | 1.25 |
| D | 12 | -0.25 |
| E | 31 | 3.25 |
| 1. | The funds be invested in one or more of the three specified projects and in the money market. |
| 2. | The three projects are not divisible and cannot be postponed. |
| 3. | The investment club requires a return of 14% per annum. |
| 4. | The following details relate to the projects and money market: |
| Initial cash outlay Sh. “000" | Forecasted rate of return (%) | Expected standard deviation of return (%) | ||
| Project 1\((P_1)\) | 3,000 | 16 | 8 | |
| Project 2\((P_2)\) | 2,000 | 15 | 6 | |
| Project 3\((P_3)\) | 2,000 | 22 | 10 | |
| Money market (MM) | 3,000 | 12 | 4 | |
| 5. | The correlation coefficients of returns of the above combination of projects are as follows: | |||
| Between projects | Between projects and market portfolio (MP) | Between projects and money market (MM) | Between money market (MM) and market portfolio (MP) | |
| \(P_1\) and\(P_2\) = 0.90 | \(P_1\) and MP = 0.80 | \(P_1\) and MM = 0.30 | MM and MP = 0.40 | |
| \(P_1\) and \(P_3\) = 0.50 | \(P_2\) and MP = 0.10 | \(P_2\) and MM = 0.75 | ||
| \(P_2\) and \(P_3\) = 0.20 | \(P_3\) and MP = 0.65 | \(P_3\) and MM = 0.15 | ||
| 1 | The risk free rate of return is 12%. |
| 2. | Expected return of the market portfolio is a weighted average return. Given below are forecasted rate of returns from a market portfolio and their probability of occurrence in different states of nature: |
| 2. | State of nature | Probability | Forecasted rate of return (%) |
| Recession | 0.30 | 10 | |
| Average | 0.40 | 15 | |
| Boom | 0.30 | 20 |
| Portfolio | Expected return of the portfolio (%) | Standard deviation of the portfolio (%) |
| 1 | 19 | 8 |
| 2 | 25 | 12 |
| 3 | 16 | 6 |
| 4 | 32 | 16 |
| 5 | 22.5 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | 2 |
| Portfolio | Weight (%) | Sensitivity to factor 1 (Market beta) | Sensitivity to factor 2 (Price/book) | Sensitivity to factor 3 Average capitalisation |
| Small value | 10 | 0.87 | 0.83 | 2 |
| Small growth | 10 | 0.97 | 0.33 | 2 |
| Large value | 30 | 0.92 | 5 | 20 |
| Large growth | 50 | 1.12 | 6 | 22 |
| Risk premium | - | 8% | –3% | 0.40% |
| Expected return % | Correlation with market | % | |
| Treasury bill rate | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| S & P 500 index | 11 | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| Stock A | 14 | 0.70 | 25.00 |
| Stock B | 9 | 0.40 | 20.00 |
| Probability | Returns % | |
| Dela Ltd. | Alpha Ltd. | |
| 0.20 | 6 | 8 |
| 0.25 | 7 | 5 |
| 0.25 | -3.5 | 14 |
| 0.30 | 14 | -1 |
| Portfolio | Average return (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Covariance of portfolio return with market returns |
| A | 17.55 | 30 | 0.0088 |
| B | 13.26 | 34 | 0.0750 |
| C | 9.34 | 28 | 0.0021 |
| Economic condition | Probability | Market return (%) | Safari Airways return (%) |
| Rapid expansion | 0.15 | 25 | 13 |
| Moderate expansion | 0.35 | 20 | 10 |
| No growth | 0.25 | 15 | 8 |
| Moderate contraction | 0.15 | 10 | 4 |
| Serious contraction | 0.10 | 4 | 2 |
| Initial Cost Sh.”000” | Return over two years % | Expected Standard deviation of returns over the two years % | |
| Project 1(p1) | 6,000 | 22 | 7 |
| Project 2(p2) | 4,000 | 26 | 9 |
| Project 3(p3) | 6,000 | 28 | 15 |
| Project 4(p4) | 6,000 | 34 | 13 |
| Money market (MM) | 1,000 (minimum) | 18 | 5 |
| The correlation coefficients of returns over the two years are as follows: | |||
| Between Projects | Between projects &market portfolio (MP) | Between projects and the money market (mm) | Between money market and market portfolio |
| P1&p2=0.70 | p1&mp=0.68 | p1&mm=0.40 | MM&MP=0.4 |
| P2&p3=0.0 | p2&mp=0.65 | p2&mm=0.45 | |
| P1&p3=0.62 | p3&mp=0.75 | p3&mm=0.55 | |
| P1&p4=0.56 | p4&mp=0.88 | ||
| P2&p4=0.57 | |||
| P3&p4=0 | |||
| Asset | Portfolio weight (%) | Current return (%) | Beta |
| A | 20 | 12 | 1.5 |
| B | 10 | 18 | 2.0 |
| C | 15 | 14 | 1.2 |
| D | 25 | 8 | 0.9 |
| Risk free asset | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| Company | Number of shares | Current market price per share Sh. |
| A | 50,000 | 50 |
| B | 32,500 | 40 |
| C | 40,000 | 30 |
| State of nature | Probability | Forecasted share price after I year (Sh.) Company | ||
| A | B | C | ||
| Boom | 0.30 | 60 | 50 | 36 |
| Normal | 0.40 | 55 | 46 | 34 |
| Reception | 0.30 | 48 | 35 | 27 |
| A and B = + 0.98 |
| A and C = + 0.76 |
| B and C = + 1 |
| Asset | Weighting | Current return | Beta |
| A | 20 | 12 | 1.5 |
| B | 10 | 18 | 2.0 |
| C | 15 | 14 | 1.2 |
| D | 25 | 8 | 0.9 |
| Risk-free asset | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| Project | Initial cash outlay Sh."000" | Expected return (%) | Standard deviation (%) |
| P Q R S | 9,000 7,000 6,000 8,000 | 12 21 16 14 | 2.5 1.8 2.3 1.6 |
| Project pairing | Covariance |
| PQ PR PS QR QS RS | -3.1 1.3 -4.1 1.5 1.7 2.7 |
| Factor sensitivity | Risk premium (%) | |
| Market factor | 1.05 | 5.00 |
| Size factor | -0.65 | 2.50 |
| Value factor | -0.20 | 4.50 |
| Liquidity factor | 0.20 | 4.50 |
| The treasury bill rate is 5% | ||
| Omega Mutual fund | Beta Mutual fund | |
| Reahsed return | 13% | 18% |
| Beta | 1.0% | 2.0% |
| Standard deviation | 19% | 15% |
| State of economy | Probability | Returns on security X | Returns on security Y |
| Boom | 0.40 | 18% | 24% |
| Normal | 0.50 | 14% | 22% |
| Recession | 0.10 | 12% | 21% |
| Factor | Factor beta | Factor risk premium |
| 1 2 3 | 0.70 1.20 -0.10 | 2.5% 5.0% 6.0% |
| Probability (P) | Security returns (%) | |
| Security A | Security B | |
| 0.10 0.25 0.49 0.25 | -5 10 15 20 | 10 15 10 0 |
| Probability | Forecasted rate of returns (%) | ||
| Security A | Security В | Market portfolio | |
| 0.20 0.50 0.30 | 15 10 8 | 12 15 10 | 16 12 7 |
| Security | Expected annual return (%) | Expected standard deviation (%) |
| 1 2 | 16 12 | 20 20 |
| Company | Amount invested in shares Sh."million" | Beta coefficient |
| Alpha Ltd. | 140 | 0.8 |
| Beta Ltd. | 80 | 1.5 |
| Chatter Ltd. | 120 | 3.0 |
| Dinner Ltd. | 100 | 1.0 |
| Eastern Ltd. | 60 | 2.5 |
| 1 | The beta coefficient of KIF can be determined as a weighted average of the fund's investment. |
| 2 | The current risk-free rate of return is 8%. |
| 3 | The market returns have the following estimated probability distribution for the next period: Probability Market return (%) 0.1 7 0.2 9 0.4 11 0.2 13 0.1 15 |
| (i) | The estimated equation of the security market line (SML). |
| (ii) | The fund's required rate of return for the next period. |
| (iii) | Suppose Anthony Muli, the Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of KIF receives a proposal to invest in a new company. The investment needed to take a position in the new company's shares is Sh.50 million. The forecasted rate of return from this investment and the probability of their occurrence in different states of nature, are given as follows: |
| State of Nature | Probability | Forecasted rate of return (%) | |
| A B C D E | 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 | 10 15 20 10 15 |
| Using the capital asset pricing model (CAPM), advise Anthony Muli on whether to invest in the new company's shares. |
| Month | January | February | March | April | May | June |
| Closing NAV "Sh" | 18.60 | 17.80 | 18.20 | 18.00 | 17.80 | 16.80 |
| Dividend payout "Sh" | - | 0.75 | - | - | - | 1.20 |
| Month | July | August | September | October | November | December |
| Closing NAV Sh. | 17.20 | 17.80 | 17.90 | 18.10 | 18.80 | 18.50 |
| Dividend payout "Sh" | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Portfolio | Average annual returns(%) | Standard deviation of the average annual returns(%) | Correlation with Market returns |
| P Q R S T U | 18.6 14.8 15.1 22.0 -9.0 26.5 | 27.0 18.0 8.0 21.2 4.0 19.3 | 0.81 0.65 0.98 0.75 0.45 0.63 |
| Market return | 12.0 | 12.0 | |
| Risk-free rate | 9.0 |
| Company | Number of shares held | Equity Beta | Market price per share (Sh.) | Expected return on equity |
| W X Y Z | 10,000 15,000 15,000 10,000 | 1.12 0.89 0.70 1.60 | 130 100 90 160 | 18% 23% 11% 17% |
| Project | Market value of the fund (%) | Expected return (%) | Standard deviation (%) | Coefficient of correlation with the market |
| 1 2 3 4 | 28 17 31 14 | 10 18 15 13 | 15 20 14 18 | 0.55 0.75 0.84 0.62 |
| Stock M | Stock N | |
| Expected return (%) | 18 | 16 |
| Standard deviation (%) | 8 | 6 |
| Beta coefficient | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Amount of money invested (Sh.) | 1,200,000 | 800,000 |
| Portfolio P | Portfolio N | |
| Average return | 35% | 28% |
| Beta | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Standard deviation | 42% | 30% |
| Non-systematic risk | 18% | 10% |
| Share A | Share B | Share C | |
| Risk-free rate of return | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Beta coefficient | 1.340 | 1.000 | 0.750 |
| Return on the NSE index | 0.185 | 0.185 | 0.185 |
| Stock | Number of shares | Market price per share | Expected return (%) | Standard deviation of return | Correlation with the market |
| A | 2,000,000 | 30 | 10 | 15 | 0.55 |
| B | 1,000,000 | 25 | 18 | 20 | -0.75 |
| C | 2,000,000 | 20 | 15 | 14 | 0.84 |
| D | 3,000,000 | 25 | 13 | 18 | -0.62 |
| Probability | Forecasted return of market |
| % | |
| 0.20 | 0.15 |
| 0.15 | 0.10 |
| 0.30 | 0.15 |
| 0.25 | 0.20 |
| 0.10 | 0.25 |