Unit: Advanced Financial Management
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Login to Access| Company | Spot price Sh. | Three months expected price | Exercise price Sh. |
| Safariland | 445 | Increase by 20% | 470 |
| Absaland | 415 | Increase by 15% | 450 |
| CICD | 395 | Decrease by 10% | 370 |
| Jubila | 380 | Increase by 5% | 390 |
| KCIQ | 405 | Decrease by 15% | 395 |
| Spot rate USD($)/UK(£): | 1.5617 – 1.5773 |
| Six months forward rate (USD($)/UK(£): | 1.5510 – 1.5625 |
| Borrowing (%) | Deposit(%) | |
| United States Dollars ($) | 12 | 9 |
| Sterling pounds (£) | 14 | 11 |
| Exercise price | Call option (six months) | Put option (six months) |
| USD($) 1.70/1 UK(£) | 3.7 | 9.6 |
| (i) | Estimate the value of the option to delay the start of the project for two years using the Black Scholes Option Pricing Model (BSOPM) and comment on your findings. Assume that the government will make its announcement about the potential transport link at the end of the two years. |
| (ii) | On the basis of valuation of the option to delay, estimate the overall value of the project, giving a concise rationale for the valuation method used. |
| (iii) | Explain TWO other types of real options that may be present relating to the Mua Greens Estate housing development. Hint: Value of call option: \(P_s (Nd_1)\) – \(P_e (Nd_2). e^{–rfT}\) Where: \(\displaystyle d_1 = \frac{ln (P_s/P_e) + (rf + 0.5σ^2)T}{σ \sqrt{T}}\) \(d_2 = d_1 – σ \sqrt{T}\) \(P_s\)\(=\)Underlying price \(P_e\) \(=\)Strike price σ \(=\)Volatility rf \(=\) Continuity compounded risk-free interest rate T = Time to expiration |
| Sh.“000” | |
| Revenue | 60,000 |
| Cost of sales | (35,000) |
| Gross profit | 25,000 |
| Operating expenses | (10,000) |
| Operating profit | 15,000 |
| Finance cost | (11,000) |
| Earnings before tax | 4,000 |
| Income tax expense | (1,200) |
| Profit for the year | 2,800 |
| Sh. “000” | Sh. “000” | |
| Net tangible assets | 126,000 | |
| Intangible assets | 42,000 | |
| 168,000 | ||
| Current assets: | ||
| Inventory | 48,000 | |
| Trade receivables | 36,000 | |
| Bank balance | 4,800 | 88,800 |
| 256,800 | ||
| Financed by: | ||
| Equities and liabilities: | ||
| Equity: | ||
| 480,000 preference shares (Sh.25 each) | 12,000 | |
| 500,000 ordinary shares (Sh.24 each) | 12,000 | |
| Share premium | 24,000 | |
| Retained earnings | 16,800 | |
| 64,800 | ||
| Non-current liabilities: | ||
| Mortgage (20 years) | 48,000 | |
| 8% debentures | 72,000 | 120,000 |
| 184,800 | ||
| Current liabilities: | ||
| Trade payables | 12,000 | |
| Notes payable | 60,000 | 72,000 |
| 256,800 |
| \(P_c = P_S N(d_1) – Xe^{–rT}N(d_2)\) |
| Spot rate | Dollars1.8250-Dollars 1.8361 |
| 3 months forward | Dollars1.8338-Dollars 1.8452 |
| Money market rates | Borrowing | Deposit |
| US Dollars | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Sterling | 5.75% | 4.5% |
| Exchange rate (USS/1£): | |
| Spot rate | 1.3648-1.3722 |
| Six months forward rate | 1.3515-1.3655 |
| Borrowing rate (%) | Deposit rate (%) | |
| US Dollars ($) | 12 | 9 |
| Sterling Pounds (£) | 14 | 11 |
| Exercise price | 6-month call option | 6-month put option |
| $1.40 | 4.7 | 9.5 |
| 1. | The rates in the forex and money market were as follows: |
| Ksh/1USS | ||
| 1 August 2020 | 105 | |
| 1 December 2020 | 101 | |
| Interest rates (per annum) | ||
| Kenya | 18% | |
| USA | 12% | |
| 2. | The customer will settle the amount on I December 2020. | |
| 3-months forward exchange rates | 105 KES/USD |
| Spot exchange rate | 100 KES/USD |
| 3-months interest rate in Kenya | 8% per annum |
| 3-months interest rate in USA | 5.8% per annum |
| 1 | The borrowing rate is 3% above the bank base rate while the investing rate is 2% below the bank base rate. These rates apply both in Kenya and the United States. |
| 2 | The bank base rates in Kenya and the US are 15% and 10% per annum respectively. |
| 3 | The exchange rates in the forex market between the Kenya Shilling (Ksh) and the United States Dollar (USD) are as follows: |
| Ksh/1 US (S) | ||
| Spot exchange rate: | 103-105 | |
| One month forward rate: | 102-103 | |
| 3-months forward rate: | 101-102 |
| Probability | Forward spot rate KES/1 US $ |
| 20 50 30 | 61 63 67 |
| 1 | One year put options on the USS are available with an exercise price of KES.63 and a premium of KES. 4 per US$. |
| 2 | One year call options are available on the USwithanexercisepriceofKES.60apremiumofKES3perUS. |
| 3 | The future spot rate is estimated in a year's time to be KES. 62 per 1US$. |
| 4 | The following are the money market annual rates: |
| Kenya Annual rates (%) | USA Annual rates (%) | ||
| Borrowing Deposit | 18 9 | 12 6 |
| Deposit rate per annum (%) | Borrowing rate per annum (%) | |
| EUR USD | 4.0 2.0 | 8.0 3.5 |
| 1 | The exchange rates in the forex markets were (are expected to be) as follows: KSh/1 USS 1 January 2017 100 31 May 2017 102 |
| 2 | The lending and borrowing rates in the two countries are as follows: |
| Annual lending rate | Annual borrowing rate | ||
| Kenya USA | 18% 14% | 19% 15% |
| 3 | The importer will settle the outstanding amount on 31 May 2017. |
| Payments due in 3 months | : Ksh.116,000 |
| Receipts due in 3 mont | : Tsh.1,970,000 |
| Payments due in 6 months | : Tsh.4,470,000 |
| Receípts due in 6 months | : Tsh.1,540,000 |
| Spot | 17.106 - 17.140 |
| Three months forward | 0.82 - 0.77 cents premium |
| Six months forward | 1.39 - 1.34 cents premium |
| Interest rates | ||
Ksh. Tsh. | Borrowing 12.5% 9% | Lending 9.5% 6% |