Unit: Advanced Financial Management
10 Questions| GLD | Diarim | |
| Number of shares in issue | 6,000,000 | 4,000,000 |
| Dividend per share | Sh 0.30 | Sh 0.90 |
| Price per price | Sh.8.91 | Sh.3.20 |
| Initial Cost Sh.”000” | Return over two years % | Expected Standard deviation of returns over the two years % | |
| Project 1(p1) | 6,000 | 22 | 7 |
| Project 2(p2) | 4,000 | 26 | 9 |
| Project 3(p3) | 6,000 | 28 | 15 |
| Project 4(p4) | 6,000 | 34 | 13 |
| Money market (MM) | 1,000 (minimum) | 18 | 5 |
| The correlation coefficients of returns over the two years are as follows: | |||
| Between Projects | Between projects &market portfolio (MP) | Between projects and the money market (mm) | Between money market and market portfolio |
| P1&p2=0.70 | p1&mp=0.68 | p1&mm=0.40 | MM&MP=0.4 |
| P2&p3=0.0 | p2&mp=0.65 | p2&mm=0.45 | |
| P1&p3=0.62 | p3&mp=0.75 | p3&mm=0.55 | |
| P1&p4=0.56 | p4&mp=0.88 | ||
| P2&p4=0.57 | |||
| P3&p4=0 | |||
| 1. | The plant has a useful life of five years and is to be depreciated on a straight line basis. |
| 2. | The salvage value is nil. |
| 3. | Due to market uncertainties, the sale price, variable cost and sales volume of the super pad have been estimated stochastically as follows: |
| Selling price | Variable Cost | Sales Volume | ||||
| Value Sh. | Probability | Value Sh. | Probability | Value units | Probability | |
| 30 | 0.20 | 10 | 0.20 | 4 million | 0.20 | |
| 40 | 0.60 | 20 | 0.50 | 6 million | 0.50 | |
| 50 | 0.20 | 30 | 0.30 | 8 million | 0.30 | |
| 4. | The company’s cost of capital is 12% and the corporate tax rate is 30%. | |||||
| Required: | |
| (a) | The expected net present value (NPV) of the new product using expected values for each variable. |
| (b) | The expected NPV by performing ten runs using the following random numbers for each variable. Selling.price:...76..64..02..53..16..16..55..54..23..36 Variable.cost:..20..82..74..08..01..69..36..35..52..99 Sales.volume:.55..50..29..58..51..14..86..24..39..47 Required: Determine the expected NPV as simulated. |
| (c) | The probability that this product will be a success. |
| (d) | Discuss the advantage (merits) and disadvantages (limitations) of simulation analysis. |
| Spot rate | Dollars1.8250-Dollars 1.8361 |
| 3 months forward | Dollars1.8338-Dollars 1.8452 |
| Money market rates | Borrowing | Deposit |
| US Dollars | 5.1% | 4.2% |
| Sterling | 5.75% | 4.5% |
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